The partnership of the "CovidLP" project with the Municipal Health Department of Montes Claros/MG was renewed. Our team continues to provide weekly reports with the predictions of cases of Covid-19 in the city.
Our analyzes have been used to make decisions regarding actions to combat the pandemic in the city, reaching our goal of collaborating with society during this time.
As of today, the predictions are available considering a model adapted to the possibility of two waves for some countries (including the countries we mentioned here).
Our team continues to monitor the results of this new model, and also to evaluate other possible adjustments in the methodology that may become necessary.
As of today, the R package 'PandemicLP' developed by the CovidLP team is available for installation.
The package contains the functions used by our application to extract epidemiological data of Covid19, adjust the models for new and accumulated cases, and make short and long term predictions. The package originated with the need to make the forecasting methods behind our application available for other users to use as well. In addition, the functions of the package have detailed documentation on the steps of adjusting and estimating the prediction model.
To install the package on R, go to:
https://github.com/CovidLP/PandemicLP
and read the installation instructions.
This initial version includes the model that is currently being used to make daily predictions for most countries in our application. Soon, we will have updates to include some more methodology options.