Some countries' predictions have been temporarily removed from the app due to the inadequacy of the current model for data series with more than one wave.
Forecasts for new confirmed cases have been removed for: Australia, Belgium, Canada, Greece, Japan, South Korea, Netherlands, Peru, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland, Uruguay and the USA. In addition, new death forecasts for Australia and the USA have been removed.
Our team is working on adjustments to the methodology to accommodate this type of data series, and soon, we hope to resume predicions for these countries.
Post by Prof. Dani Gamerman on disclosing pandemic data is published in the newly created blog by the International Statistical Institute (ISI). To read the full text, access the link.
Starting today, CovidLP will do the prediction analysis for the United States as it is being done for Brazil, straight from the sum of its states, instead of an independent model. The need for this change had also been detected by our team, but it had not yet been implemented in our analyzes. Now, we are able to operationalize the inclusion of this component.
We continue to study the possibility of including the same procedure in the analyzes of other countries, as well as other methodological changes.
We are studying the possibility of including the same procedure in the analyzes of other countries. The main difficulty is the increase in computational cost.
